Hold Time: Why Losers Often Stay Open Longer Than Winners
If your losing trades stay open far longer than your winners, you may be hoping on losers and rushing winners. Compare the median hold time of each and the pattern is easy to spot.
Written By
Karolina Hansen
Key Takeaways
- Hold time is how long a trade stays open, from entry to final exit.
- We use the median (the middle value) because one very long trade can drag an average a long way.
- If losers stay open much longer than winners, you may be hoping losses come back while snatching at profits.
- A fixed stop loss and a written exit plan keep your hold times tied to the plan instead of to how you feel.
Hold time is how long each trade stays open. On its own it doesn't say much, because a swing trade and a scalp are meant to last different lengths of time. Comparing your winners with your losers is where it gets interesting. If your losing trades regularly stay open much longer than your winning ones, feelings may be running your exits instead of your plan.
What Hold Time Measures
Hold time
From the moment you enter to the moment the trade is fully closed.
Median
Sort the hold times from shortest to longest and take the one in the middle.
Winners vs losers
One median for winning trades and one for losing trades, side by side.
Why the median and not the average? Leave one gold trade open over a weekend and it can pull your average miles away from what's normal for you. The median doesn't care how extreme the longest trade is. It only looks at which trade sits in the middle.
The Pattern: Hope on Losers, Haste on Winners
When a trade is losing
Hope keeps it open
- “It'll come back”
- The stop gets moved further away
- Closing would make the loss real
Best for: Longer holds and bigger losses
When a trade is winning
Fear closes it
- “I don't want to give it back”
- Closed at the first pullback
- Profit taken before the target
Best for: Shorter holds and smaller wins
Put those two habits together and you get small wins and large losses, which is the opposite of what most plans are built for. The gap in hold times is often where it shows up first. Time is easy to measure, even when the reasons behind each exit aren't.
An Illustrative Journal
Here are ten illustrative gold trades. The five winners were held for 12, 18, 25, 30 and 40 minutes. The five losers were held for 35, 60, 90, 120 and 240 minutes. Put them in order and the middle winner is 25 minutes. The middle loser is 90.
Median hold time, winners vs losers (illustrative example)
Look at the 240-minute loser. The losers' average is (35 + 60 + 90 + 120 + 240) ÷ 5 = 109 minutes, but the median stays at 90. That's why the median is the steadier number to watch. Now see what those losers cost.
What each losing trade cost, by hold time (illustrative example)
How to Even Out Your Hold Times
Set the stop and leave it
Put the stop in with the order. Only ever move it to cut risk, never to add more.
Add a time rule
For example, if the trade hasn't moved your way after a set time, close it. Pick a time that suits your own strategy.
Give winners the same room
Let winning trades reach the target or your trailing rule. Don't bail on the first pullback.
Check the gap monthly
Compare the median hold time for winners and losers, and note whether the gap is getting smaller.
- My stop goes in when I enter, not later
- I never widen a stop on a losing trade
- I have a rule for how long a trade can go nowhere
- I know my median hold time for winners and for losers
Compare your median hold time for winners and losers.
Open Your JournalFrequently Asked Questions
There isn't one. It depends on your strategy and timeframe. What counts is whether you hold winners and losers the way your plan says you will.
The median is the middle value once trades are sorted by hold time. One unusually long trade can drag the average a long way, but it barely shifts the median.
No. Some strategies give trades time to work and take profit quickly. It becomes a warning sign when the losers you held longest are also bigger than you planned.
Educational content only, not financial advice. Examples are illustrative arithmetic and exclude costs. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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